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Online retails sales soar to ten year high as lockdown redefines shopping behaviour

The fall in online retail sales appears to be slowing, after recording the steepest drops in the history of the Index for two months in a row, which could signal a return to stability in the near future, according to new research.

Following the UK’s first full month under lockdown, April’s online retail sales results have signalled a seismic shift in purchasing patterns, according to new research.

As COVID-19 shut brick and mortar stores up and down the county, online sales growth surged to a 10-year high – up an astonishing +23.8% Year-on-Year (YoY). That’s according to the latest IMRG Capgemini Online Retail Index, which tracks the online sales performance of over 200 retailers.

Key findings:

• Online retail sales growth was up a staggering +23.8% Year-on-Year (YoY) in April, as high streets across the country remain deserted
• After March’s poor sales this represented a Month-on-Month (MoM) rebound of +28.2%
• Similarly, April’s results were significantly higher than the 12, 6 and 3-month rolling averages (+5.9%, +6.4% and +6.2% respectively)
• The gap in performance between retailer type intensified, with multichannel retailers outstripping their online only counterparts by +35.8% vs. +8.3%

Taking a closer look at the results, the spike in sales was overwhelmingly driven by multichannel retailers. After recording higher growth than their online only counterparts for the first time in a year in March, multichannel retailers continue to benefit from consumers’ changing shopping habits – with sales up +35% versus online only retailers’ more modest rise of +8.3%.

Breaking down the figures at a category level, the unusually hot April weather (combined with lockdown) triggered a monumental rise in gardening sales. Building upon March’s +94.4% YoY growth, this month’s sales were up an unprecedented +288%. Meanwhile, electrical sales sparked an equally impressive +102% growth – likely indicative of remote working requirements and demand for at-home entertainment as consumers navigate home isolation. Further to their success in February and March, health & beauty sales also continued to soar – with growth of +82%.

Unfortunately, the story was not quite so positive for the clothing sector, with felt the impact of COVID-19 on its monthly sales for the second time as they sunk -23.8% from April 2019. Within this, footwear and menswear sales were particularly poor, down -31.1% and -33.5% respectively.

Andy Mulcahy, strategy and insight director, IMRG: “April’s data shows that demand is following a very logical pattern – with stores closed, people who would usually shop in physical locations have no choice but to switch online. Hence it is the multichannel retailers who are securing the very strong growth at the moment, though whether it will be enough to entirely offset the loss of sales from those stores seems unlikely. This is only true for some categories though; even with stores closed, online growth for multichannel clothing retailers is still down -17.5%. The demand just isn’t there at the moment.

“When that demand will return is a big question for clothing retailers. If they reopen stores – and take their staff out of furlough, bringing all the costs back into the business – but their customers don’t return quickly, there could be a very difficult period coming indeed.”

Lucy Gibbs, managing consultant – Retail Insight, Capgemini: “COVID-19 has reshaped consumer spending patterns and shopping habits, which has been accentuated by the significant online growth in April. Customers to become accustomed to turning to online to fulfil shopping needs as non-essential retailers remained closed. However, despite the positive figures, it begs the question whether this is enough to make up for the full impact of COVID-19 performance particularly for the fashion sector which is still losing out as customers are purchasing for new environments rather than fashion.

“We are also starting to see a differential by retail tier, with mid-market losing out to budget retailers, a trend to watch as consumers seek value for money in uncertainty, however, on the other hand we are likely to see consumers looking for brand trust and quality. This can result in a squeeze in the mid-tier where appealing to both needs has been traditionally harder to balance. Retailers will need to listen to their customers, and find new ways to become increasingly transparent, flexible and innovative in order to navigate the rocky and uncertain road ahead.”

www.imrg.org

www.capgemini.com

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